Hurricane Michael and why it’s so hard to predict storm intensity

Good news: Hurricane track forecasts get better every year. Bad news: Intensity forecasts are much harder. Early this week, the National Hurricane Center issued a five-day forecast showing Hurricane Michael making landfall near Mexico Beach, Florida. It predicted that the storm would arrive with 80 mph winds.

Yet the storm that arrived Wednesday was not like the one predicted. It was an extremely intense Category 4 storm with 155 mph winds. Measured by barometric pressure, Michael was one of the top four most powerful storms to ever make landfall in...

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By: Vox - Thursday, 11 October

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